Statistics of infections with diversity in the pathogenicity.

نویسندگان

  • Francisco Guinea
  • Vincent A A Jansen
  • Nico Stollenwerk
چکیده

The statistics of outbreaks in a model for the propagation of meningococcal disease is analyzed, taking into account the possibility that the population is fragmented into weakly connected patches. It is shown that, depending on the size of the sample studied, the ration between the variance and the average of infected cases can vary from unity (Poisson statistics) to epsilon(-1), where epsilon is the normalized infection rate.

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عنوان ژورنال:
  • Biophysical chemistry

دوره 115 2-3  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2005